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The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data. This web site is a creation of Philippe J. Fournier, physics and astrophysics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal.
The Liberal Party of Canada (LPC) has leveraged the “winner take all” power of FPTP to efficiently pick off enough ridings to win the general elections while losing the popular vote by two hundred thousand ballots and decreasing overall participation in each election since coming to power.
Forecasting and Projection Methodology. The following is a detailed explanation of the forecasting and projection methodology used for the 2016 Saskatchewan and Manitoba elections. The fundamentals of the model were also employed in all federal and provincial elections held since 2011. Improvements, updates, and new features were added after ...
Éric Grenier est le créateur de ThreeHundredEight.com, où il analyse les sondages politiques et les tendances électorales. Il collabore au Globe and Mail, Huffington Post Canada, et le Hill Times.
3 mars 2011 · A seat projection for an individual poll will appear precise: a party is projected to win X seats, no more and no less, with what the poll reports. But just as the poll itself is susceptible to any number of sampling errors, the projection is susceptible to the model's own errors as well.
4 juin 2015 · The only reason that the Alberta New Democrats won last month's provincial election is because the vote on the right was split between the Progressive Conservatives and Wildrose. Or, at least, that is what many people have said. Here are a few examples of that.
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