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  1. Il y a 1 jour · 2000: A 537-vote win. The 2000 election was very, very close. The Democratic candidate, Al Gore, won more votes across the country than his competitor, George W. Bush. But he didn’t have a ...

  2. Il y a 1 jour · UPDATED Nov. 2, 2024, at 8:44 AM. Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Trump wins 50 times out...

    • G. Elliott Morris
  3. Il y a 6 jours · Download the data. Download. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here.

  4. Il y a 5 jours · And initial tallies in that state showed Bush leading by 1,784 votes (that lead eventually shrunk to 537 votes). The justices who wanted Bush to be president didn’t actually need to do much...

  5. Il y a 2 jours · The number of electoral votes, out of 538, allocated to each state and the District of Columbia for presidential elections to be held in 2024 and 2028 based on the 2020 census. Every jurisdiction is entitled to at least 3.

  6. Il y a 5 jours · Poll type. An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

  7. Il y a 5 jours · Presidential elections in Florida used to be decided by the slimmest of margins — none slimmer than the 537 votes that, after an infamous recount, won George W. Bush the White House in 2000 ...