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1. www.natesilver.net › p › kamala-harris-got-theKamala Harris got the debate she wanted - by Nate Silver

   www.natesilver.net › p › kamala-harris-got-the

   11 sept. 2024 · Tonight was the first and perhaps only debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Thanks to all of you who joined us in the subscriber chat.It’s been a busy couple of weeks with travel and a lot of long newsletter pieces, so I’m going to prioritize speed rather than depth here with a series of bullet points based on notes I took while the debate was underway.

2. www.natesilver.net › aboutAbout - Silver Bulletin

   www.natesilver.net › about

   NATE DOT SILVER DOT MEDIA AT GMAIL DOT COM. Or find someone who knows me. Subscribe to Silver Bulletin. Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker, and all the other things I care about. Subscribe. People. Nate Silver @natesilver. https://w ...

3. www.natesilver.net › p › can-kamala-harris-win-inCan Kamala Harris win in Incumbent Mode? - by Nate Silver

   www.natesilver.net › p › can-kamala-harris-win-in

   16 août 2024 · Nate Silver. Aug 16, 2024. 380. Share this post. Can Kamala Harris win in Incumbent Mode? www.natesilver.net. Copy link. Facebook. Email. Note. Other. 102. Share. I had a little mental misfire today which — bear with me here — I think ...

4. fivethirtyeight.com › features › final-2020Biden’s Favored In Our Final Presidential Forecast, But It’s ...

   fivethirtyeight.com › features › final-2020

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   3 nov. 2020 · Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. @natesilver538. Comments. Filed under. Donald Trump (1706 posts) 2020 Election (1214) Joe Biden (667) Polls (511) Election ...

5. www.natesilver.net › p › alaska-alaska-alaskaAlaska, Alaska, Alaska - by Nate Silver - Silver Bulletin

   www.natesilver.net › p › alaska-alaska-alaska

   15 sept. 2024 · Game over, right? Well, not so fast. On NBC, Steve Kornacki holds up a whiteboard, echoing the late, great Tim Russert.On it are written three words: “Alaska, Alaska, Alaska”.

6. www.natesilver.net › p › a-guide-to-post-debate-pollA guide to post-debate poll-watching - by Nate Silver

   www.natesilver.net › p › a-guide-to-post-debate-poll

   11 sept. 2024 · As of today — with no post-debate polling yet included — Harris has a 2.0-point lead in our national polling average. Let’s say that by late next week, she has a 3- or 3.5-point lead instead, i.e. a gain of 1 to 1.5 points, and that this seems to be translating reasonably well into state polling.

7. www.natesilver.net › p › if-biden-cant-run-a-normalIf Biden can't run a normal campaign, he should step aside

   www.natesilver.net › p › if-biden-cant-run-a-normal

   13 nov. 2023 · Silver: Well, I’m the probabilities guy, so I’ll usually avoid answering a question definitively unless you force me to. Really, the best option would have been if Biden decided in March he wouldn’t run, and then you could have a vigorous primary. If you actually invested me with all this power, I’d want access to private information. I’d like to do some polling. I’d want to ...