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Il y a 1 jour · The Silver Bulletin polling averages are a little fancy. They adjust for whether polls are conducted among registered or likely voters, the presence or absence of RFK Jr., and house effects. They weight more reliable polls more heavily. And they use national polls to make inferences about state polls and vice versa.
- The presidential election isn't a toss-up - by Nate Silver
The presidential election isn't a toss-up. As our model...
- The presidential election isn't a toss-up - by Nate Silver
A debate preview — plus a quick model update. Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker, and all the other things I care about. Click to read Silver Bulletin, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers.
21 avr. 2023 · Nate Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight, a website that uses data and analysis to cover politics, sports, and culture. He also hosts several podcasts on topics such as AI, elections, and governors.
Nathaniel Read Silver dit Nate Silver, né le 13 janvier 1978 à East Lansing dans le Michigan, est un statisticien, sabermétricien et écrivain américain spécialisé dans les calculs statistiques des résultats de la Ligue majeure de baseball et des élections. Il est le fondateur du site FiveThirtyEight .
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- Nathaniel Read Silver
- Nate Silver
Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023. [2]
26 juin 2024 · The presidential election isn't a toss-up. As our model launches, either Biden or Trump could easily win — but the odds are in the ex-president’s favor. Nate Silver. Jun 26, 2024.
3 nov. 2020 · Nate Silver analyzes the polls and the Electoral College map for the final presidential forecast before the 2020 election. He explains why Biden is favored but Trump still has a chance, and how a small polling error could change the outcome.
